weighted score 6.7 · nine dimensions
Country Risk Profile
Nigeria
Sourcing risk, regulatory exposure and audit intelligence for Nigeria-origin supply chains.
Forced & child labour
8
TVPRA listed for cocoa, cattle, garments, and gold. Child labour documented in cocoa farming, cattle herding, and artisanal mining. Farm-level supply chain audit access in cocoa is severely limited.
Worker rights & FOA
7
ILO C087 and C098 ratified but enforcement weak. Large informal economy outside formal worker protections. Trade unions operational in formal sector but face practical constraints.
OHS & audit transparency
7
Social audits feasible in Lagos-area manufacturing and free trade zones. Rural and agricultural supply chains substantially harder to audit credibly. Artisanal mining OHS is effectively unauditable.
Food & product safety
6
NAFDAC capacity improving but documented RASFF alerts for aflatoxin in groundnuts/cashew and pesticide residues in sesame. Export food safety compliance is a material risk requiring enhanced due diligence.
Environmental & regulatory
7
High EUDR exposure for cocoa and palm oil. Cocoa traceability for EUDR compliance is operationally complex — smallholder aggregation makes farm-level geolocation challenging. Regulatory enforcement capacity limited outside Lagos.
Governance & anti-corruption
8
TI CPI 2024: 26/100 (rank ~145). Among the most corrupt countries globally. Corruption documented across customs, licensing, and procurement. Business survey data consistently ranks corruption as Nigeria's primary constraint.
Tariff & preferential access
4
Standard EU GSP access — no EPA concluded, unlike Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire. GSP provides some preferences for qualifying goods. AfCFTA membership adds regional market access (implementation ongoing).
Non-tariff barriers
6
Nigeria maintains complex import licensing and historically restrictive trade policy on selected categories. Food safety compliance requirements in EU market are elevated due to RASFF history. EUDR compliance is an emerging systemic burden for Nigerian cocoa exporters.
Supply chain traceability
7
Smallholder cocoa and palm oil supply chains are inherently difficult to trace to farm level. Livestock supply chains (cattle, hides) have limited formal traceability. Manufacturing and garment sector traceability is limited beyond first-tier suppliers.
Labour & Social Risk
Labour & Social Risk
- TVPRA listing
- Nigeria is listed on the US DOL ILAB TVPRA List of Goods Produced by Child or Forced Labor for: cocoa, cattle, garments, gold, gravel, granite, and pornography. Cocoa and cattle are the most commercially significant for international buyers. Buyers sourcing these commodities from Nigeria face high due diligence obligations.
- Child labour in agriculture
- Child labour is documented in cocoa farming (Cross River, Edo, Ondo states), cattle herding, and artisanal gold mining. The ILO and UNICEF report high rates of child agricultural labour in rural Nigeria — enforcement of minimum age standards in smallholder supply chains is severely limited.
- Worker rights & FOA
- Nigeria has ratified ILO Conventions C087 and C098 but implementation and enforcement are weak. Trade unions operate but face practical constraints in the informal economy. The large informal labour market is effectively outside formal worker rights protections.
- Audit access
- Social compliance audits are operationally feasible in Lagos-area manufacturing and free trade zones. Rural agricultural supply chains — including cocoa — are substantially harder to audit credibly. Farm-level traceability for TVPRA-listed commodities is a material compliance challenge.
EU Regulatory Exposure
EU Regulatory Exposure
- EUDR exposure — high
- Nigeria is a significant EUDR-exposed country for cocoa (one of the world's top producers) and palm oil. Both commodities are EUDR-regulated. Nigerian cocoa exporters and their EU customers will need to provide geolocation data and due diligence statements demonstrating no deforestation linkage.
- Cocoa traceability challenge
- Nigerian cocoa is produced predominantly by smallholder farmers. Supply chain aggregation through licensed buying agents (LBAs) and cooperatives makes farm-level geolocation for EUDR compliance operationally complex. Industry and government investment in traceability systems is growing but is not yet mature.
- EU GSP access
- Nigeria benefits from the EU's standard GSP arrangement. Nigeria has not concluded an Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) with the EU — unlike Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire which have interim EPAs. This means Nigerian exports receive standard GSP preferences rather than the deeper zero-tariff access available under EPAs.
- Food safety concerns
- Nigeria has a documented history of EU RASFF alerts for aflatoxin in groundnuts and cashew nuts, and for pesticide residues in sesame and other products. NAFDAC (food and drug authority) capacity has improved but export food safety compliance remains a material risk for buyers.
Logistics & Supply Chain
Logistics & Supply Chain
- Primary export corridor
- Lagos (Apapa/Tin Can/Lekki ports) → Gulf of Guinea → Cape of Good Hope or Suez Canal → EU ports
- Key transit chokepoints
- Gulf of Guinea (piracy risk zone), Cape of Good Hope routing adds 10+ days vs Suez; Suez Canal
- Main EU destination ports
- Rotterdam, Hamburg, Amsterdam (for cocoa), Barcelona
- Typical transit time
- 18–25 days to Northwest Europe (depending on routing)
- Port congestion
- Lagos Apapa port has chronic congestion — truck queues of several days and slow customs clearance are routine. Lekki Deep Sea Port (opened 2023) provides alternative capacity. Supply chain lead time variability is high and should be factored into buyer planning.