Data • Signals • Auditable
Trade Signals
Partner-mix snapshots across 12 tracked partners, split per geography. Partner shares are computed against each reporter's total imports where the fetched denominator exists; for series predating the 2026-07 data upgrade the denominator falls back to the sum of the tracked partner groups. Build-time only.
How to read this page
Signals are computed from monthly import values and expressed as TRUE partner shares of each reporter's total imports in the section. For the EU the denominator is extra-EU imports (intra-EU trade is not "import dependence" for the EU); for Finland it is total goods imports. Both denominators are fetched from Eurostat alongside the partner series, so the untracked remainder is visible rather than silently excluded. Compare EU and FI shares with that difference in mind.
- Concentration flags single-partner dominance in the latest month.
- Rising flags worsening dependence trajectory over the 24-month window.
- Divergence vs EU shows exposure gaps vs the EU baseline for the same SITC group.
- PDI indices are composites designed to amplify "high + worsening" cases.
Definitions (denominator, Δ24m, PDI)
Denominator: partner shares are computed against the reporter's total imports in the SITC section (extra-EU for EU, total goods for FI). For series predating the July 2026 data upgrade, the denominator falls back to the sum of the tracked partner groups and the untracked remainder is not shown.
Δ24m: change in partner share from the start of the 24-month window to the latest month, displayed as percentage points (pp).
PDI_max: topShare × (1 + ΔtopShare). Experimental composite, not yet calibrated against realised disruptions.
PDI_CN: CNShare × (1 + ΔCNShare). Experimental composite, not yet calibrated against realised disruptions.
Controls
This is a computed executive summary: what is most concentrated, what is rising, and where the EU baseline itself is shifting.
Shares are true shares of the section's import total: extra-EU imports for the EU reporter, total goods imports for Finland. Δ24m is shown as percentage-point change (pp). The FI-vs-EU comparison spans those two denominators; read it as "exposure in each importer's own basket".
Intelligence Brief (computed)
Summary for EU, derived from the current signal set.
Most concentrated (top partner share)
SITC 7 · Machinery & transport — China 35.5% (Δ24m +1.88 pp)
Fastest rising China share (Δ24m)
SITC 7 · Machinery & transport — CN +1.88 pp (now 35.5%)
Highest PDI_max
SITC 7 · Machinery & transport — 0.362
Largest divergence vs EU (PDI_max gap)
EU selected (no divergence baseline)
Shares are true shares of the section's import total (extra-EU for the EU reporter, all partners for Finland). Δ24m is percentage-point change of that share.
Source and method
Every signal on this page (partner shares, top-partner shifts, growth and concentration measures) is computed deterministically at build time from the COMEXT snapshots; nothing is fetched at runtime and nothing is modelled. Signal thresholds are analytical choices, not statistical significance tests.