← Country Risk Profiles
5.0

weighted score 5.0 · nine dimensions

Country Risk Profile

Timor-Leste

Sourcing risk, regulatory exposure and audit intelligence for Timor-Leste-origin supply chains.

Forced & child labour

5

Tier 2 Watch List (US TIP). Coffee listed on ILAB child labour list. Domestic servitude and bonded labour risks in agriculture. Limited enforcement capacity.

Worker rights & FOA

5

All eight ILO fundamental conventions ratified. Legal framework exists but enforcement extremely limited. Labour inspectorate under-resourced.

OHS & audit transparency

5

No established social compliance audit infrastructure. OHS regulation exists in law but enforcement negligible. Bespoke assessment required.

Food & product safety

5

No national food safety authority with international accreditation. Coffee quality controlled via buyer-side and certification schemes (Fair Trade, organic).

Environmental & regulatory

4

Low industrial emissions. Deforestation concerns. EUDR-regulated coffee is the main export. Smallholder traceability for EUDR compliance is a significant challenge.

Governance & anti-corruption

5

TI CPI 2025: 44/100. Post-conflict governance improving but institutional capacity remains weak. Anti-corruption commission exists but under-resourced.

Tariff & preferential access

5

EU EBA duty-free access as LDC. No anti-dumping measures. ASEAN membership pending — once achieved would provide regional tariff preferences.

Non-tariff barriers

5

Coffee faces EUDR due diligence requirements. Smallholder fragmentation makes traceability documentation challenging. No other significant NTB exposure due to low export volumes.

Supply chain traceability

6

Smallholder coffee production across remote terrain makes full traceability difficult. No digital traceability infrastructure. Cooperative structures provide partial aggregation but multi-tier visibility is weak.

Labour & Social Risk

Labour & Social Risk

Forced labour risk
Timor-Leste is classified as Tier 2 Watch List in the US TIP Report. Risks include domestic servitude, bonded labour in agriculture, and trafficking of persons to neighbouring countries.
Sectors at elevated risk
Agriculture (coffee, rice), construction, domestic work, and fishing. Child labour persists in rural agricultural settings.
Audit limitations
Social compliance audit infrastructure is essentially non-existent. No established audit ecosystem. Any due diligence requires bespoke assessment arrangements.
ILO conventions
Timor-Leste has ratified all eight ILO fundamental conventions. However, enforcement capacity is extremely limited due to under-resourced labour inspectorate.
ILAB status
Coffee listed on US Department of Labor List of Goods Produced by Child Labor.

EU Regulatory Exposure

EU Regulatory Exposure

GSP status
Timor-Leste benefits from the EU Everything But Arms (EBA) scheme as a Least Developed Country, providing duty-free, quota-free access to the EU for all products except arms and ammunition.
Anti-dumping & CVD
No EU anti-dumping or countervailing duty measures currently in force against Timor-Leste. Export volumes are negligible across most product categories.
EUDR exposure
Coffee is the primary non-oil export and is an EUDR-regulated commodity. Due diligence statements will be required for coffee imports. Smallholder traceability presents significant challenges.
EU Forced Labour Regulation
Regulation (EU) 2024/3015 applies from December 2027. Coffee supply chains with child labour risk may attract investigation under Article 5.
CBAM
Not materially relevant. Timor-Leste does not export CBAM-covered products (steel, aluminium, cement, fertilisers, electricity) to the EU in any significant volume.

Logistics & Supply Chain

Logistics & Supply Chain

Primary export corridor
Dili → transhipment via Singapore or Surabaya → Indian Ocean → Suez Canal → EU ports
Key transit chokepoints
Strait of Malacca, Suez Canal
Main EU destination ports
Rotterdam, Hamburg, Antwerp (for coffee exports)
Typical transit time
30–40 days to Northwest Europe including transhipment
Scope 3 relevance
Long-haul maritime freight with transhipment adds to carbon footprint. Limited direct shipping services mean additional handling and transit time.