← Geopolitical & Concentration Risk
2.4

weighted score 2.4 · five dimensions

Geopolitical & Concentration Risk

Bahamas

Geopolitical conflict, supplier concentration, climate exposure, sanctions risk and policy continuity intelligence for Bahamas-origin supply chains.

Geopolitical conflict

1

No armed conflict. Stable parliamentary democracy. No territorial disputes. Safe Caribbean location. Minimal geopolitical risk.

Supplier concentration

2

No globally concentrated exports. Tourism dominates domestically but creates no global supply chain bottleneck. Freeport is a transshipment hub but alternatives exist.

Climate & physical risk

6

Extreme hurricane exposure (Dorian 2019 devastation). Low-lying archipelago. Sea level rise threat. Among the highest physical climate risk profiles in the Caribbean.

Sanctions exposure

1

No international sanctions. Clean profile. Financial services reformed to meet international transparency standards. No entity list designations.

Policy continuity & property rights

2

Stable parliamentary democracy. English common law. Independent judiciary. Property rights well-protected. No income/corporate tax provides business stability.

Climate & Physical Risk

Climate & Physical Risk

Hurricane exposure
The Bahamas is extremely exposed to Atlantic hurricanes. Hurricane Dorian (2019, Category 5) devastated Abaco and Grand Bahama with USD 3.4 billion in damages. Climate change is intensifying hurricane severity.
Sea level rise
Low-lying archipelago (highest point 63m). Sea level rise is an existential threat to much of the nation's infrastructure and economic activity concentrated on coastal areas.
US economic correlation
Extreme proximity to the US (50 miles from Florida) means the Bahamian economy is highly correlated with US economic cycles. US recession directly impacts tourism revenues.

Concentration & Sanctions

Concentration & Sanctions

Economic concentration
Tourism 50%+ of GDP creates extreme domestic economic concentration. However, this does not represent global supply chain concentration risk for international buyers. No globally concentrated commodity exports.
Sanctions exposure
No international sanctions. Financial services sector has been reformed to meet international standards. FATF compliance has improved significantly. No entity list designations.
Freeport transshipment
Freeport Container Port is a major Caribbean transshipment hub. Owned by Hutchison Port Holdings. Strategic location for US East Coast supply chains.