← Geopolitical & Concentration Risk
2.4

weighted score 2.4 · five dimensions

Geopolitical & Concentration Risk

Seychelles

Geopolitical conflict, supplier concentration, climate exposure, sanctions risk and policy continuity intelligence for Seychelles-origin supply chains.

Geopolitical conflict

1

No armed conflict. Stable democracy. Peaceful Indian Ocean location. No territorial disputes. Minimal geopolitical risk for supply chain purposes.

Supplier concentration

3

Tuna is the only significant goods export. Concentrated in a single product but not at globally significant scale. No global supply chain concentration risk.

Climate & physical risk

5

Existential climate vulnerability — sea level rise, coral bleaching, ocean warming. Very high physical risk for long-term infrastructure and economic viability.

Sanctions exposure

1

No international sanctions. Clean profile. Offshore financial services sector reformed to meet international standards.

Policy continuity & property rights

2

Stable democracy with predictable policy environment. Property rights are well-protected. Judicial system is functional. Low risk of policy discontinuity.

Political Stability & Climate

Political Stability & Climate

Democracy
Seychelles is a stable multi-party democracy. Peaceful transfers of power have occurred. No armed conflict. Political risk is minimal for a small island state.
Climate vulnerability
Sea level rise and coral bleaching are existential threats. The country is highly vulnerable to climate change impacts that could fundamentally alter its economic model (tourism, fisheries).
Indian Ocean position
Strategic location in the Indian Ocean. Western Indian Ocean is increasingly contested between India, China, and other powers. Seychelles hosts an Indian naval facility on Assumption Island (under discussion).

Concentration & Sanctions

Concentration & Sanctions

Economic concentration
Economy is concentrated in tourism and tuna. A disruption to either sector (pandemic, fish stock collapse) would be devastating. However, neither represents global supply chain concentration risk for buyers.
Sanctions exposure
No international sanctions. No entity list designations. Clean sanctions profile. Offshore financial services sector has been brought into compliance with international standards.