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Structural

Definitional or legal. No counterfactual.

• Targeted by: Critical Raw Materials Act (CRMA)
• Feedstock for: Batteries (lithium-ion)
• Produced by: China

Causal / evidential

Licenses a counterfactual. Confidence and identification (how the arrow was earned: statutory, forward-test, natural-experiment, or mechanism only) shown per edge.

• Exposed to: Supply concentration (measured) · mechanism