Central Asia
Tajikistan
EU Compliance · Geopolitical Risk · Sourcing Attractiveness
Why these scores
EU Compliance, by dimension
1 = lowest risk · methodology & sources
Geopolitical Risk, by dimension
1 = lowest risk · methodology & sources
Attractiveness, by dimension
9 = most attractive · methodology & sources
Analyst scores, last reviewed June 2026; each dimension's sources and cadence are on its methodology page.
Data layers
The EU is Tajikistan's #4 import source (world lens). Tajikistan is the EU's #120 goods supplier.
Tajikistan on the world stage
Total imports
$4.2bn
2023 annual
Total exports
$1.3bn
112 partners
#1 import source
Russian Federation
21.2%
#1 export dest.
China
24.8%
2023 annual, UN Comtrade (HS TOTAL, all partners). Line colour: coverage (exports/imports per partner).
Tajikistan and the EU
EU imports from
€579m
0.0% of extra-EU
EU exports to
€365m
0.0% of extra-EU
EU supplier rank
EU's #120 supplier
EU trade balance
import-tilted
coverage 0.63
2025 annual totals, Eurostat COMEXT. EU trade board →
Electricity & grid
National sources · carbon from Ember
Industrial
7
EUR/MWh
Consumer
3
EUR/MWh, all-in
Grid carbon
113
gCO₂e/kWh
Renewables
90%
of generation
regulated market
Power market
● Export-revenue + dam debtMarket model
Vertically integrated state utility
Direct PPA
None
grid access: closed
Reserve margin
–
Regulator
Not independent
Antimonopoly Committee, Ministry of Economic Development and Trade
A hydro-only system with severe winter rationing (2-4 hours/day in some regions), below-cost-recovery tariffs, TALCO aluminium consuming 40% of output, and massive debt from the Rogun dam build.
Tracked infrastructure
Operating assets tracked by Global Energy Monitor (CC BY 4.0); counts are tracked facilities, not exhaustive totals. Energy overview →
Metal mining
Tagged mines
6
4 production-backed
Acid-drainage prone
0
high water-risk ore class
Main commodities
Gold
Mine-water verifiability
Blind spot
remote-sensing lake assessments only
Water risk is inferred from the ore class, not site measurements. Global mines: full layer →
Demographics
UN World Population Prospects 2024 · medium variant
Median age
22.1
→ 27.9 by 2050
Fertility
3.04
above replacement
Working-age
59.9%
aged 15–64
Old-age dep.
6.4
→ 12.1 by 2050
Median age 1990–2050
Population 10.6M · still growing past 2100
By 2050: +47% (15.6M)