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Central America

Guatemala

EU Compliance · Geopolitical Risk · Sourcing Attractiveness

EU Compliance

lower score = lower risk

5.1

Geopolitical Risk

lower score = lower risk

3.6

Sourcing Attractiveness

higher score = more attractive

3.9

Why these scores

EU Compliance, by dimension

Forced & child labour6
Worker rights & FOA5
OHS & audit transparency5
Food & product safety4
Environmental & regulatory6
Governance & anti-corruption8
Tariff & preferential access2
Non-tariff barriers4
Supply chain traceability6

1 = lowest risk · methodology & sources

Geopolitical Risk, by dimension

Geopolitical conflict4
Supplier concentration3
Climate & physical risk5
Sanctions exposure1
Policy continuity & property rights5

1 = lowest risk · methodology & sources

Attractiveness, by dimension

Labour cost competitiveness7
Supply base depth3
Logistics & infrastructure4
Workforce skills3
Scalability7
Ease of doing business3
Trade access & tariffs2
Sustainability baseline3
Innovation & IP4
Quality standards3

9 = most attractive · methodology & sources

Analyst scores, last reviewed June 2026; each dimension's sources and cadence are on its methodology page.

Data layers

The EU is Guatemala's #4 import source (world lens). Guatemala is the EU's #100 goods supplier.

Guatemala on the world stage

Guatemala$32.5bn total importsUS29.2% · $9.5bnUSA29.2% · $9.5bnChina19.7% · $6.4bnMexico10.2% · $3.3bnEU-277.4% · $2.4bnASEAN-64.1% · $1.3bnEl Salvador3.3% · $1.1bnCosta Rica2.9% · $940mJapan2.8% · $906m

Total imports

$32.5bn

2024 annual

Total exports

$14.8bn

187 partners

#1 import source

USA

29.2%

#1 export dest.

USA

33.1%

2024 annual, UN Comtrade (HS TOTAL, all partners). Line colour: coverage (exports/imports per partner).

Guatemala and the EU

EU imports from

€1.3bn

0.1% of extra-EU

EU exports to

€1.7bn

0.1% of extra-EU

EU supplier rank

EU's #100 supplier

EU trade balance

balanced or surplus

coverage 1.27

2025 annual totals, Eurostat COMEXT. EU trade board →

Electricity & grid

National sources · carbon from Ember · estimated

Electricity costs →

Industrial

182

EUR/MWh

Consumer

271

EUR/MWh, all-in

Grid carbon

273

gCO₂e/kWh

Renewables

of generation

regulated market

Power market

High-tariff liberalised market

Market model

Liberalised wholesale market

Direct PPA

Allowed

grid access: open

Reserve margin

Regulator

Independent

CNEE (Comision Nacional de Energia Electrica)

High diesel and HFO share drives expensive generation. Despite a competitive wholesale market since 1996, PPA contract design issues and uneven distribution infrastructure keep tariffs elevated, particularly for…

Power markets: full layer →

Tracked infrastructure

2 solar farms

93 MW · 3 building

Operating assets tracked by Global Energy Monitor (CC BY 4.0); counts are tracked facilities, not exhaustive totals. Energy overview →

Metal mining

Tagged mines

3

2 production-backed

Acid-drainage prone

1

high water-risk ore class

Main commodities

Silver, Gold, Nickel

Mine-water verifiability

Blind spot

MARN exists; only research-grade water studies

Water risk is inferred from the ore class, not site measurements. Global mines: full layer →

Demographics

UN World Population Prospects 2024 · medium variant

ASEAN demographics →

Median age

23

→ 33 by 2050

Fertility

2.29

above replacement

Working-age

63.6%

aged 15–64

Old-age dep.

7.6

→ 14 by 2050

Median age 1990–2050

Population 18.4M · peaks 2077

By 2050: +34% (24.7M)